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Low Pressure System to Bring Rain Chances to Delmarva Late Sunday into Monday

Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 10:58 AM

Residents across Delmarva should keep an eye on the forecast heading into late Sunday and early Monday as a developing low pressure system tracks along the East Coast. Current model guidance shows the center of low pressure sliding by to the south of the peninsula. While there is still some uncertainty regarding the exact track […]

Residents across Delmarva should keep an eye on the forecast heading into late Sunday and early Monday as a developing low pressure system tracks along the East Coast.

Current model guidance shows the center of low pressure sliding by to the south of the peninsula. While there is still some uncertainty regarding the exact track and strength of the system, the latest trends suggest Delmarva will remain on the milder side of this storm.

Temperatures on Saturday are expected to climb into the 40s across much of the region. That relatively mild air mass will be in place ahead of the system’s arrival, meaning any precipitation that reaches Delmarva would fall as rain.

Forecast confidence continues to increase that the stronger storm scenario seen in some earlier model runs is becoming less likely. While a more amplified system would bring heavier precipitation farther north, current ensemble and deterministic guidance favor a weaker solution overall.

Because there is still some uncertainty in how far north the precipitation shield extends, rain chances have been maintained in the forecast from Sunday afternoon through early Monday. Probabilities currently range from around 30 percent to as high as 70 percent across the peninsula, with the higher chances generally closer to southern portions of Delmarva.

At this time, the main impact locally appears to be periods of rain late Sunday into early Monday. No winter weather impacts are expected for Delmarva with this system.

We will continue to monitor trends as newer data comes in over the next couple of days.

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