Flavio Bolsonaro slightly leads Lula in Brazil runoff, Quaest poll shows

Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 4:32 PM

SAO PAULO, Oct 14 (Reuters) – Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro was seen slightly ahead of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva heading into the October 25 presidential runoff, a Quaest poll showed on Wednesday.

The right-wing senator, the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, would receive 46% of the vote compared with 44% for the leftist Lula, according to the poll.

• It is the first Quaest poll after the first-round vote earlier this month, in which the younger Bolsonaro surprisingly led Lula

• The poll’s result still represents a technical tie as the poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points

• 9% of the respondents said they would cast a blank or null vote or intend not to vote, while undecided voters made up 1%, the poll showed

• Quaest surveyed 2,154 people between October 10-13

(Reporting by Andre Romani in Sao Paulo; Editing by Fernando Cardoso)


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